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	Comments on: Future Tense	</title>
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		<title>
		By: Nicholas G. Angel		</title>
		<link>https://askthepilot.com/safest-year-2023/#comment-401937</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Nicholas G. Angel]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Apr 2024 03:01:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://askthepilot.com/?p=18344#comment-401937</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Yesterday I was sitting in Seat A staring at the engine.
I was in the U.S. Air force years ago. Flew often on 141s and C-5s.
All with 4 engines.  Then I was thinking of how in the world have engines
come so far in power. 
Today most passenger planes have but two.  Meaning, how incredible that 
one of todays engines can keep a massive plane in the air!!
Pat,  you are so enjoyable to read. Thank you from Solvang Ca.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yesterday I was sitting in Seat A staring at the engine.<br />
I was in the U.S. Air force years ago. Flew often on 141s and C-5s.<br />
All with 4 engines.  Then I was thinking of how in the world have engines<br />
come so far in power.<br />
Today most passenger planes have but two.  Meaning, how incredible that<br />
one of todays engines can keep a massive plane in the air!!<br />
Pat,  you are so enjoyable to read. Thank you from Solvang Ca.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Donna Lee		</title>
		<link>https://askthepilot.com/safest-year-2023/#comment-401871</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Donna Lee]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Apr 2024 18:22:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://askthepilot.com/?p=18344#comment-401871</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Thank you for years of entertainment and education.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thank you for years of entertainment and education.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Patrick		</title>
		<link>https://askthepilot.com/safest-year-2023/#comment-401527</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Patrick]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 18 Mar 2024 18:56:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://askthepilot.com/?p=18344#comment-401527</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://askthepilot.com/safest-year-2023/#comment-401320&quot;&gt;Jeff Bere&lt;/a&gt;.

You can maybe argue that you’re LESS safe. But how much so? I suspect the percentage is out to three or four decimal places. In practical terms it doesn’t matter much.

As for pilot suicides, let’s see…  EgyptAir in 1996, the Germanwings thing, and MH370 (probably). That’s three in a 30-year span. Am I missing any?  Not sure I’d call that a &quot;thing.&quot;


   P]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://askthepilot.com/safest-year-2023/#comment-401320">Jeff Bere</a>.</p>
<p>You can maybe argue that you’re LESS safe. But how much so? I suspect the percentage is out to three or four decimal places. In practical terms it doesn’t matter much.</p>
<p>As for pilot suicides, let’s see…  EgyptAir in 1996, the Germanwings thing, and MH370 (probably). That’s three in a 30-year span. Am I missing any?  Not sure I’d call that a &#8220;thing.&#8221;</p>
<p>   P</p>
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		<title>
		By: Don Beyer		</title>
		<link>https://askthepilot.com/safest-year-2023/#comment-401515</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Don Beyer]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 17 Mar 2024 22:45:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://askthepilot.com/?p=18344#comment-401515</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[From 1961 through 1965, UA crashed five times. Twice within three months in 1965. If US airlines crashed at the same rate per flights today as they did in the 1960s, there would be at least 15-20 major crashes a year.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>From 1961 through 1965, UA crashed five times. Twice within three months in 1965. If US airlines crashed at the same rate per flights today as they did in the 1960s, there would be at least 15-20 major crashes a year.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Gimlet Winglet		</title>
		<link>https://askthepilot.com/safest-year-2023/#comment-401377</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Gimlet Winglet]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Mar 2024 00:01:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://askthepilot.com/?p=18344#comment-401377</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Mitch:

It very much was greed. The choice to spend 10s of billions of dollars on stock buybacks, instead of one 10 billion dollars on developing a successor to the 50 year old 737 airframe, was greed. Greed, greed, greed. Greed straight into the pockets of stockholding and stock option holding Boeing management.

The design failures such as inherent in MCAS, and the coverup of those failures during certification, were entirely predictabe. You squeeze the process too hard, you go to the well one too many times with an ancient design that couldn&#039;t get certification today if presented as new, you get bad outcomes. Monday morning quarterbacking on specific failures is bullshit--they fired or drove off most of their engineering talent that could have said &quot;waitaminnit...&quot;, and built a culture of punishing those remaining who did speak up. Combine that with their regulatory capture of the FAA (they were literally paying the FAA employees and doing FAA employee evaluations and assignments), and this wasn&#039;t a holes in the swiss cheese lining up, it was taking a chainsaw to the cheeseblock.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Mitch:</p>
<p>It very much was greed. The choice to spend 10s of billions of dollars on stock buybacks, instead of one 10 billion dollars on developing a successor to the 50 year old 737 airframe, was greed. Greed, greed, greed. Greed straight into the pockets of stockholding and stock option holding Boeing management.</p>
<p>The design failures such as inherent in MCAS, and the coverup of those failures during certification, were entirely predictabe. You squeeze the process too hard, you go to the well one too many times with an ancient design that couldn&#8217;t get certification today if presented as new, you get bad outcomes. Monday morning quarterbacking on specific failures is bullshit&#8211;they fired or drove off most of their engineering talent that could have said &#8220;waitaminnit&#8230;&#8221;, and built a culture of punishing those remaining who did speak up. Combine that with their regulatory capture of the FAA (they were literally paying the FAA employees and doing FAA employee evaluations and assignments), and this wasn&#8217;t a holes in the swiss cheese lining up, it was taking a chainsaw to the cheeseblock.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Mitch		</title>
		<link>https://askthepilot.com/safest-year-2023/#comment-401360</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mitch]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Mar 2024 00:10:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://askthepilot.com/?p=18344#comment-401360</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Re the 737MAX ACIDENTS 
Allegations of greed make no sense. 
Examples of what was at stake with the 737MAX program: 
- Ethiopian haD been all-Boeing since 1962.
- Lionair haD bought more than 100 737s since their 1999 startup. 
Domestically
- American has flown every Boeing model since their first 707-123 in 1958. 
- Also United/Continental since 1960. 
- Southwest is all 737&#039;s; they have flown all four generations since their 737-200 startup. 

That&#039;s BILLIONS of $$$ worth of Boeing airplanes plus contracts for long-term multi-airplane 737MAX delivery streams. 
Boeing&#039;s management has many shortcomings. But, deliberately wrecking decades-long customer relationships all for a bit of short-term profit at a cost of billions of $$$ in future business is not one of them. 

The accidents resulted from something worse than greed: a lethal combination of negligence by Boeing management and FAA certification plus Boeing engineering&#039;s stupid design errors. 
The fundamental error was Boeing&#039;s: they designed, tested, certified and delivered an airplane with an undocumented fatal flaw. That flaw was MCAS a single-path system with a catastrophically-lethal failure mode. It violated the &quot;Prime Directive&quot; of airliner design: a single failure must NEVER EVER cause the loss of an airplane 
A single failure caused each MAX crash, ending 346 lives. Not because of deliberate greed or malice, but because of stupidity, incompetence and negligence.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Re the 737MAX ACIDENTS<br />
Allegations of greed make no sense.<br />
Examples of what was at stake with the 737MAX program:<br />
&#8211; Ethiopian haD been all-Boeing since 1962.<br />
&#8211; Lionair haD bought more than 100 737s since their 1999 startup.<br />
Domestically<br />
&#8211; American has flown every Boeing model since their first 707-123 in 1958.<br />
&#8211; Also United/Continental since 1960.<br />
&#8211; Southwest is all 737&#8217;s; they have flown all four generations since their 737-200 startup. </p>
<p>That&#8217;s BILLIONS of $$$ worth of Boeing airplanes plus contracts for long-term multi-airplane 737MAX delivery streams.<br />
Boeing&#8217;s management has many shortcomings. But, deliberately wrecking decades-long customer relationships all for a bit of short-term profit at a cost of billions of $$$ in future business is not one of them. </p>
<p>The accidents resulted from something worse than greed: a lethal combination of negligence by Boeing management and FAA certification plus Boeing engineering&#8217;s stupid design errors.<br />
The fundamental error was Boeing&#8217;s: they designed, tested, certified and delivered an airplane with an undocumented fatal flaw. That flaw was MCAS a single-path system with a catastrophically-lethal failure mode. It violated the &#8220;Prime Directive&#8221; of airliner design: a single failure must NEVER EVER cause the loss of an airplane<br />
A single failure caused each MAX crash, ending 346 lives. Not because of deliberate greed or malice, but because of stupidity, incompetence and negligence.</p>
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		<title>
		By: J Kevin Brady		</title>
		<link>https://askthepilot.com/safest-year-2023/#comment-401353</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[J Kevin Brady]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Mar 2024 16:59:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://askthepilot.com/?p=18344#comment-401353</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[It&#039;s almost beyond comprehension that we have gone this long without a major accident with loss of life. (although the JAL runway collision could have ended the record with a bang). Of course its to the industry&#039;s credit that the plane held together long enough for everyone to get out, and the crew&#039;s emergency training. It&#039;s almost like we&#039;ve won the aviation lottery. Of course as long as there are humans involved in the equation, eventually we will have a major accident with loss of life, but I say let&#039;s celebrate and good for you for pointing this out. It&#039;s not tiresome, it&#039;s amazing. What a story of success!!]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s almost beyond comprehension that we have gone this long without a major accident with loss of life. (although the JAL runway collision could have ended the record with a bang). Of course its to the industry&#8217;s credit that the plane held together long enough for everyone to get out, and the crew&#8217;s emergency training. It&#8217;s almost like we&#8217;ve won the aviation lottery. Of course as long as there are humans involved in the equation, eventually we will have a major accident with loss of life, but I say let&#8217;s celebrate and good for you for pointing this out. It&#8217;s not tiresome, it&#8217;s amazing. What a story of success!!</p>
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		<title>
		By: Mitch		</title>
		<link>https://askthepilot.com/safest-year-2023/#comment-401341</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mitch]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Mar 2024 06:59:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://askthepilot.com/?p=18344#comment-401341</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Patrick you are not alone.
The French-Canadian commercial aviation blogger “Vero Venia” has similar concerns
https://verovenia.wordpress.com/2024/03/03/we-are-in-march-2024/#comments

His post was short but ominous:
“For reasons I do not understand, I have the strange feeling there would be a fatal commercial passenger aircraft accident in the next four weeks.
Maybe it is just because I did not sleep well last night.”

Your pessimism and his could be summarized as
“Cheer up, things could be worse. So I cheered up and things got worse”.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Patrick you are not alone.<br />
The French-Canadian commercial aviation blogger “Vero Venia” has similar concerns<br />
<a href="https://verovenia.wordpress.com/2024/03/03/we-are-in-march-2024/#comments" rel="nofollow ugc">https://verovenia.wordpress.com/2024/03/03/we-are-in-march-2024/#comments</a></p>
<p>His post was short but ominous:<br />
“For reasons I do not understand, I have the strange feeling there would be a fatal commercial passenger aircraft accident in the next four weeks.<br />
Maybe it is just because I did not sleep well last night.”</p>
<p>Your pessimism and his could be summarized as<br />
“Cheer up, things could be worse. So I cheered up and things got worse”.</p>
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		<title>
		By: R Adjemian		</title>
		<link>https://askthepilot.com/safest-year-2023/#comment-401337</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[R Adjemian]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Mar 2024 01:08:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://askthepilot.com/?p=18344#comment-401337</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[As long as companies like Boeing put profits ahead of quality construction and operation, there will be avoidable crashes. Boeing executives make a crazy amount of money. I read that the CEO of Boeing makes $60 million a year, no doubt with many further perks. Good leadership could get greed out of the  equation, but maybe that&#039;s impossible given human nature.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As long as companies like Boeing put profits ahead of quality construction and operation, there will be avoidable crashes. Boeing executives make a crazy amount of money. I read that the CEO of Boeing makes $60 million a year, no doubt with many further perks. Good leadership could get greed out of the  equation, but maybe that&#8217;s impossible given human nature.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Speed		</title>
		<link>https://askthepilot.com/safest-year-2023/#comment-401330</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Speed]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Mar 2024 21:06:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://askthepilot.com/?p=18344#comment-401330</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[If you want to do something really scary, ride a bicycle.

&quot;Across the country, the number of cyclists that are seriously injured or killed is soaring. According to the National Safety Council, 1,260 bicyclists were killed in 2020, up 16% from the year before and an increase of 44% over the past decade.&quot;

&lt;a href=&quot;https://www.npr.org/2022/05/25/1099566472/more-cyclists-are-being-killed-by-cars-advocates-say-u-s-streets-are-the-problem&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow ugc&quot;&gt;More cyclists are being killed by cars. Advocates say U.S. streets are the problem&lt;/a&gt;]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If you want to do something really scary, ride a bicycle.</p>
<p>&#8220;Across the country, the number of cyclists that are seriously injured or killed is soaring. According to the National Safety Council, 1,260 bicyclists were killed in 2020, up 16% from the year before and an increase of 44% over the past decade.&#8221;</p>
<p><a href="https://www.npr.org/2022/05/25/1099566472/more-cyclists-are-being-killed-by-cars-advocates-say-u-s-streets-are-the-problem" rel="nofollow ugc">More cyclists are being killed by cars. Advocates say U.S. streets are the problem</a></p>
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